{"id":3359,"date":"2022-02-27T15:23:54","date_gmt":"2022-02-27T07:23:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/?p=3359"},"modified":"2022-02-27T15:27:10","modified_gmt":"2022-02-27T07:27:10","slug":"%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e7%af%87%ef%bc%9a%e6%b3%95%e5%be%8b%e8%ae%ba-%e5%b8%b8%e8%a7%81%e7%9a%84%e6%a6%82%e7%8e%87%e5%88%86%e5%b8%83%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/?p=3359","title":{"rendered":"\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7bc7\uff1a\u6982\u7387\u8bba-\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u6a21\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"<h1>\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u6a21\u578b<\/h1>\n<h1>\u79bb\u6563\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570<\/h1>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u79bb\u6563\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u8d28\u91cf\u51fd\u6570\uff08probability mass function\uff09\uff0c\u79bb\u6563\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u6709<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u5206\u5e03\uff08Bernoulli distribution\uff09<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;\u4e8c\u9879\u5206\u5e03\uff08binomial distribution\uff09<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;\u6cca\u677e\u5206\u5e03\uff08Poisson distribution\uff09<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;\u51e0\u4f55\u5206\u5e03\uff08geometric distribution\uff09\u7b49<\/p>\n<h1>\u8fde\u7eed\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570<\/h1>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u8fde\u7eed\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u5bc6\u5ea6\u51fd\u6570\uff08probability density function\uff09\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u662f\u5177\u6709\u8fde\u7eed\u53d6\u503c\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u4e00\u6761\u5b9e\u7ebf\u4e0a\u7684\u503c\uff09\u7684\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u6709<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;\u6b63\u6001\u5206\u5e03\uff08normal distribution\uff09<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;\u6307\u6570\u5206\u5e03\uff08exponential distribution\uff09<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;&emsp;\u03b2\u5206\u5e03\uff08beta distribution\uff09\u7b49<\/p>\n<h1>\u8054\u5408\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570<\/h1>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u7ed9\u5b9a\u4e00\u4e2a\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u91cf$(X,Y)$\uff0c\u79f0\u5b9a\u4e49\u57df\u4e3a\u6574\u4e2a\u5e73\u9762\u7684\u4e8c\u5143\u5b9e\u503c\u51fd\u6570<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\nF(x,y) = P(X\\leq{x},Y\\leq{y}) \\quad -\\infty\\geq{x,y}\\leq\\infty<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\n\u8be5\u4e8c\u5143\u5b9e\u503c\u51fd\u6570\u4e3a\u968f\u673a\u53d8\u91cf$(X,Y)$\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u79f0\u4e3a\u662f$(X,Y)$\u7684\u8054\u5408\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u6309\u7167\u8054\u5408\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c$F(x,y)=P((X,Y)\\in{D<em>{xy}})$\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d$D<\/em>{xy}$\u5982\u4e0b\u56fe\u6240\u793a<\/p>\n<p><div class='fancybox-wrapper lazyload-container-unload' data-fancybox='post-images' href='https:\/\/egonlin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u6a21\u578b-\u8054\u5408\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570.png'><img class=\"lazyload lazyload-style-2\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PCEtLUFyZ29uTG9hZGluZy0tPgo8c3ZnIHdpZHRoPSIxIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjEiIHhtbG5zPSJodHRwOi8vd3d3LnczLm9yZy8yMDAwL3N2ZyIgc3Ryb2tlPSIjZmZmZmZmMDAiPjxnPjwvZz4KPC9zdmc+\"  data-original=\"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u6a21\u578b-\u8054\u5408\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570.png\" src=\"data:image\/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAYAAAAfFcSJAAAAAXNSR0IArs4c6QAAAARnQU1BAACxjwv8YQUAAAAJcEhZcwAADsQAAA7EAZUrDhsAAAANSURBVBhXYzh8+PB\/AAffA0nNPuCLAAAAAElFTkSuQmCC\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div><\/p>\n<h1>\u591a\u9879\u5206\u5e03\uff08Multinomial Distribution\uff09<\/h1>\n<h2>\u591a\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u7b80\u4ecb<\/h2>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u591a\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u662f\u4e8c\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u63a8\u5e7f\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u533a\u522b\u662f\u4e8c\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53ea\u6709$0$\u548c$1$\u4e24\u79cd\uff0c\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u591a\u4e2a\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u591a\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u5178\u578b\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50\uff0c6\u4e2a\u70b9\u5bf9\u5e946\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6570\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u70b9\u7684\u6982\u7387\u90fd\u4e3a${\\frac{1}{6}}$<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u4e0e\u4e8c\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u591a\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e$(p_1+p_2+\\cdots+p_k)^n\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u7684\u5c55\u5f00$<\/p>\n<h2>\u591a\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u516c\u5f0f\u89e3\u6790<\/h2>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u4ee5\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u63b7$1-6$\u7684\u6982\u7387\u90fd\u4e3a${\\frac{1}{6}}$\uff0c\u8bb0\u4f5c$p_1-p_6$\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u73b0$p_1+p_2+p_3+p_4+p_5+p_6=1$\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u628a$p_1+p_2+p_3+p_4+p_5+p_6$\u8bb0\u4f5c\u505a\u4e00\u6b21\u62bd\u6837\u5404\u79cd\u4e8b\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387\u548c\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u5f97$(p_1+p_2+p_3+p_4+p_5+p_6)^n=1^n$\u4e3a$n$\u6b21\u62bd\u6837\u6240\u6709\u4e8b\u4ef6\u76f8\u4e92\u7ec4\u5408\u5bf9\u5e94\u7684\u6982\u7387\u548c\uff0c\u4e4b\u540e\u4f7f\u7528\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u5c55\u5f00(\u6ce8\uff1a\u4f7f\u7528\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u5b9a\u7406\u5c55\u5f00\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u5b9a\u7406\u4e0d\u5728\u672c\u8282\u63d0\u53ca\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u4e0d\u591a\u8d58\u8ff0)\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5b83\u4e0d\u662f\u63b7\u9ab0\u5b50\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6709$n$\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u5c55\u5f00\u7684\u516c\u5f0f<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\nP(X_1 = x_1,\\ldots,X_k = x_k) = \\begin{cases}<br \/>\n{\\frac{n!}{x_1!\\cdots{x_k!}}}(p^{x_1}\\cdots{p^{x<em>k})} \\quad when\\sum<\/em>{i=1}^kx_i=n\\<br \/>\n0 \\quad otherwise \\<br \/>\n\\end{cases}<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\n\u8fd9\u4e2a\u591a\u9879\u5f0f\u8868\u793a$X_1$\u51fa\u73b0$x_1$\u6b21\uff0c$X_2$\u51fa\u73b0$x_2$\u6b21\uff0c$\\ldots$\uff0c$X_k$\u51fa\u73b0$x_k$\u6b21\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u5c31\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6240\u793a\u7684\u591a\u9879\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u591a\u9879\u5c55\u5f00\u5f0f\u516c\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n<h1>\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u5206\u5e03\uff08Bernoulli Distribution\uff09<\/h1>\n<h2>\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u5206\u5e03\u7b80\u4ecb<\/h2>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u5206\u5e03\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8c\u503c\u79bb\u6563\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u53ea\u6709$0$\u548c$1$\u4e24\u79cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u968f\u5373\u53d8\u91cf$X$\u4e3a$1$\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a$p$\uff0c\u5219\u4e3a$0$\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e3a$q=1-p$\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u516c\u5f0f\u8868\u793a\u4e3a<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\nf(x) = p^x(1-p)^{1-x} = \\begin{cases}<br \/>\np,  \\quad\\quad x=1  \\<br \/>\n1-p, \\quad x=0 \\<br \/>\n\\end{cases}<br \/>\n$$<\/p>\n<h2>\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u671f\u671b\u503c\u548c\u65b9\u5dee<\/h2>\n<p>&emsp;&emsp;\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u671f\u671b\u503c\u4e3a<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\n\\begin{align}<br \/>\nE(X) &amp; = \\sum_{i=0}^1x<em>if(x) \\<br \/>\n&amp; = 1<em>p+0<\/em>(1-p) \\<br \/>\n&amp; = p+0 \\<br \/>\n&amp; = p \\<br \/>\n\\end{align}<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\n&emsp;&emsp;\u4f2f\u52aa\u5229\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u65b9\u5dee\u4e3a<br \/>\n$$<br \/>\n\\begin{align}<br \/>\nD(x) &amp; = \\sum<\/em>{i=0}^1(x_i &#8211; E(x))^2f(x) \\<br \/>\n&amp; = (1-E(x))^2<em>p + (0-E(x)^2<\/em>(1-p) \\<br \/>\n&amp; = (1-p)^2<em>p + (0-p)^2<\/em>(1-p) \\<br \/>\n&amp; = p &#8211; p^2 \\<br \/>\n&amp; = p(1-p) \\<br \/>\n&amp; = pq<br \/>\n\\end{align}<br \/>\n$$<\/p>\n<h1>\u6b63\u6001(\u9ad8\u65af)\u5206\u5e03\uff08Normal(Gaussian) Distribution\uff09<\/h1>\n<h2>\u6b63\u6001\u5206\u5e03\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5bc6\u5ea6\u51fd\u6570\u56fe\u50cf<\/h2>\n<p><\/p><div id=\"rml_readmorelogin_placeholder\" style=\"position:relative;\"><div id=\"rml_fade_content\" style=\"position: absolute;\r\ntop:-10em;\r\nwidth:100%;\r\nheight:10em;\r\nbackground: -webkit-linear-gradient(rgba(255, 255, 255, 0) 0%,#ffffff 100%);\r\nbackground-image: -moz-linear-gradient(rgba(255, 255, 255, 0) 0%,#ffffff 100%);\r\nbackground-image: -o-linear-gradient(rgba(255, 255, 255, 0) 0%,#ffffff 100%);\r\nbackground-image: linear-gradient(rgba(255, 255, 255, 0) 0%,#ffffff 100%);\r\nbackground-image: -ms-linear-gradient(rgba(255, 255, 255, 0) 0%,#ffffff 100%);\"><\/div><div class=\"wpf-controller aru_rml_from_in_post\" style=\"background-color:#eeeeee;border:5px solid #cce6ff;\" id=\"ARU_ReadMoreLogin_ReadMoreLoginController\"><h2 id=\"Header\">\u67e5\u770b\u66f4\u591a<\/h2><div id=\"Message\"><p>\u8054\u7cfb\u7ba1\u7406\u5458\u5fae\u4fe1tutu19192010\uff0c\u6ce8\u518c\u8d26\u53f7<\/p>\n<\/div><div id=\"StatusBarHeader\"><\/div><form id=\"ARU_ReadMoreLogin_ReadMoreLoginController\"><input name=\"post_id\" value=\"3359\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"_init_callback\" value=\"InitLogin\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"post_id\" value=\"3359\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"rt_ype\" value=\"1\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"nonce\" value=\"e9701ec639\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"_wpnonce\" value=\"6195572b4d\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"_controller\" value=\"ARU_ReadMoreLogin\\ReadMoreLoginController\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"_proxy_controller\" value=\"ARU_ReadMoreLogin\\ReadMoreLoginController\" type=\"hidden\"\/><input name=\"_view\" value=\"ARU_ReadMoreLogin\\ReadMoreLoginView\" type=\"hidden\"\/><table class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><tbody class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><tr class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><td class=\"wpf-table-placeholder-input\" width=\"400px\"><table class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><tbody class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><tr class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><th class=\"wpf-table-placeholder-input\"><label class=\"wpf-label\">Username:<\/label><\/th><\/tr><tr class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><td class=\"wpf-table-placeholder-input\"><input class=\"regular-text text_input\" name=\"username\" value=\"\" type=\"text\"\/><\/td><\/tr><tr class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><th class=\"wpf-table-placeholder-input\"><label class=\"wpf-label\">Password:<\/label><\/th><\/tr><tr class=\"wpf-table-placeholder\"><td class=\"wpf-table-placeholder-input\"><input class=\"regular-text text_input\" name=\"password\" value=\"\" type=\"password\"\/><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><p class=\"wpf-table-placeholder submit\"><button class=\"wp_plugin_framework_ajax_button\" type=\"button\" style=\"background-color:#4D90FE;;color:#ffffff;;border:1px solid #3079ed;\" name=\"_event\" value=\"ButtonLogin\">Log in<\/button><\/p><\/td><td class=\"wpf-table-placeholder-input\"><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/form><div id=\"ButtonStartRegister\"><a href=\"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/wp-login.php?action=register\">Register<\/a><\/div><div id=\"Link1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/wp-login.php?action=lostpassword\">Forgotten username or password?<\/a><\/div><div id=\"StatusBarFooter\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div id=aru_remaining_content><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5e38\u89c1\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u6a21\u578b \u79bb\u6563\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u51fd\u6570 &emsp;&emsp;\u79bb\u6563\u6982\u7387\u5206\u5e03\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a\u6982\u7387\u8d28\u91cf\u51fd\u6570\uff08probabil [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3360,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[276,303,305],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3359"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3359"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3359\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/3360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3359"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3359"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/egonlin.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3359"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}